Tuesday 8 November 2016

The election-forecasting wars: Hillary Clinton has got this. Probably. Very probably | The Economist

Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by about four points. So say most of the final batch of quality polls. Forecasters all predict a Clinton win today—with varying confidence. But this outcome is not assured. Mr Trump’s voters cluster in states that matter, and his path to victory remains open. Yet it may need to run through states like Michigan, where he trails badly. Could it happen? Yes. But it would be a very, very big upset, writes our data editor

writes the data editor at The Economist

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